Trump edges out Clinton in new Florida poll

Donald Trump enjoys a two-point lead over Hillary Clinton in a new Rasmussen poll.

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Take all of this with a couple of grains of salt, of course. It’s a long way to election day and — especially in this topsy-turvy year — anything can happen. Trump could explode, Hillary could be indicted, either convention could pull a deus ex machina out of its hat at the conventions.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 27-28, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ninety-one percent (91%) of Democrats now say Clinton is likely to be their party’s nominee. Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Republicans see Trump as the likely GOP nominee.

Trump leads 48% to 35% among men but trails Clinton by a similar 44% to 34% among women.

Agencies/Canadajournal